Spanish vs USA cohort comparison of prehospital trauma scores to predict short-term mortality.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate three prehospital early warning scores (EWSs): RTS, MGAP and MREMS, to predict short-term mortality in acute life-threatening trauma and injury/illness by comparing United States (US) and Spanish cohorts. METHODS: A total of 8854 patients, 8598/256 survivors/nonsurvivors, comprised the unified cohort. Datasets were randomly divided into training and test sets. Training sets were used to analyze the discriminative power of the scores in terms of the area under the curve (AUC), and the score performance was assessed in the test set in terms of sensitivity (SE), specificity (SP), accuracy (ACC) and balanced accuracy (BAC). RESULTS: The three scores showed great discriminative power with AUCs>0.90, and no significant differences between cohorts were found. In the test set, RTS/MREMS/MGAP showed SE/SP/ACC/BAC values of 86.0/89.9/89.6/87.1%, 91.0/86.9/87.5/88.5%, and 87.7/82.9/83.4/85.2%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: All EWSs showed excellent ability to predict the risk of short-term mortality, independent of the country.

Long-term risk of death in patients with infection attended by prehospital emergency services. / Modelo de riesgo de mortalidad a largo plazo en pacientes con infección atendidos por servicios de emergencias prehospitalarios.

OBJECTIVES: To develop and validate a risk model for 1-year mortality based on variables available from early prehospital emergency attendance of patients with infection. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Prospective, observational, noninterventional multicenter study in adults with suspected infection transferred to 4 Spanish hospitals by advanced life-support ambulances from June 1, 2020, through June 30, 2022. We collected demographic, physiological, clinical, and analytical data. Cox regression analysis was used to develop and validate a risk model for 1-year mortality. RESULTS: Four hundred ten patients were enrolled (development cohort, 287; validation cohort, 123). Cumulative mortality was 49% overall. Sepsis (infection plus a Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment score of 2 or higher) was diagnosed in 29.2% of survivors vs 56.7% of nonsurvivors. The risk model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.89 for 1-year mortality. The following predictors were included in the model: age; institutionalization; age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index; PaCO2; potassium, lactate, urea nitrogen, and creatinine levels; fraction of inspired oxygen; and diagnosed sepsis. CONCLUSION: The model showed excellent ability to predict 1-year mortality based on epidemiological, analytical, and clinical variables, identifying patients at high risk of death soon after their first contact with the health care system.

OBJETIVO: Diseñar y validar un modelo de riesgo con variables determinadas a nivel prehospitalario para predecir el riesgo de mortalidad a largo plazo (1 año) en pacientes con infección. METODO: Estudio multicéntrico, observacional prospectivo, sin intervención, en pacientes adultos con sospecha infección atendidos por unidades de soporte vital avanzado y trasladados a 4 hospitales españoles entre el 1 de junio de 2020 y el 30 de junio de 2022. Se recogieron variables demográficas, fisiológicas, clínicas y analíticas. Se construyó y validó un modelo de riesgo para la mortalidad a un año usando una regresión de Cox. RESULTADOS: Se incluyeron 410 pacientes, con una tasa de mortalidad acumulada al año del 49%. La tasa de diagnóstico de sepsis (infección e incremento sobre el SOFA basal $ 2 puntos) fue del 29,2% en supervivientes frente a un 56,7% en no supervivientes. El modelo predictivo obtuvo un área bajo la curva de la característica operativa del receptor para la mortalidad a un año fue de 0,89, e incluyó: edad, institucionalización, índice de comorbilidad de Charlson ajustado por edad, presión parcial de dióxido de carbono, potasio, lactato, nitrógeno ureico en sangre, creatinina, saturación en relación con fracción inspirada de oxígeno y diagnóstico de sepsis. CONCLUSIONES: El modelo desarrollado con variables epidemiológicas, analíticas y clínicas mostró una excelente capacidad predictiva, y permitió identificar desde el primer contacto del paciente con el sistema sanitario, a modo de evento centinela, casos de alto riesgo.

Modelo de riesgo de mortalidad a largo plazo en pacientes con infección atendidos por servicios de emergencias prehospitalarios / Long-term risk of death in patients with infection attended by prehospital emergency services

Objetivo: Diseñar y validar un modelo de riesgo con variables determinadas a nivel prehospitalario para predecir el riesgo de mortalidad a largo plazo (1 año) en pacientes con infección. Métodos: Estudio multicéntrico, observacional prospectivo, sin intervención, en pacientes adultos con sospecha infección atendidos por unidades de soporte vital avanzado y trasladados a 4 hospitales españoles entre el 1 de junio de 2020 y el 30 de junio de 2022. Se recogieron variables demográficas, fisiológicas, clínicas y analíticas. Se construyó y validó un modelo de riesgo para la mortalidad a un año usando una regresión de Cox.Resultados: Se incluyeron 410 pacientes, con una tasa de mortalidad acumulada al año del 49%. La tasa de diagnóstico de sepsis (infección e incremento sobre el SOFA basal $ 2 puntos) fue del 29,2% en supervivientes frente a un 56,7% en no supervivientes. El modelo predictivo obtuvo un área bajo la curva de la característica operativa del receptor para la mortalidad a un año fue de 0,89, e incluyó: edad, institucionalización, índice de comorbilidad de Charlson ajustado por edad, presión parcial de dióxido de carbono, potasio, lactato, nitrógeno ureico en sangre, creatinina, saturación en relación con fracción inspirada de oxígeno y diagnóstico de sepsis.Conclusiones: El modelo desarrollado con variables epidemiológicas, analíticas y clínicas mostró una excelente capacidad predictiva, y permitió identificar desde el primer contacto del paciente con el sistema sanitario, a modo de evento centinela, casos de alto riesgo.(AU)

Objectives: To develop and validate a risk model for 1-year mortality based on variables available from earlyprehospital emergency attendance of patients with infection. Methods: Prospective, observational, noninterventional multicenter study in adults with suspected infection transferred to 4 Spanish hospitals by advanced life-support ambulances from June 1, 2020, through June 30, 2022. We collected demographic, physiological, clinical, and analytical data. Cox regression analysis was used to develop and validate a risk model for 1-year mortality. Results: Four hundred ten patients were enrolled (development cohort, 287; validation cohort, 123). Cumulative mortality was 49% overall. Sepsis (infection plus a Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment score of 2 or higher) was diagnosed in 29.2% of survivors vs 56.7% of nonsurvivors. The risk model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.89 for 1-year mortality. The following predictors were included in the model: age; institutionalization; age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index; PaCO2; potassium, lactate, urea nitrogen, and creatinine levels; fraction of inspired oxygen; and diagnosed sepsis. Conclusions: The model showed excellent ability to predict 1-year mortality based on epidemiological, analytical, andclinical variables, identifying patients at high risk of death soon after their first contact with the health care system.(AU)

Utility of non-invasive monitoring of exhaled carbon dioxide and perfusion index in adult patients in the emergency department.

BACKGROUND: Several noninvasive solutions are available for the assessment of patients at risk of deterioration. Capnography, in the form of end-tidal exhaled CO2 (ETCO2) and perfusion index (PI), could provide relevant information about patient prognosis. The aim of the present project was to determine the association of ETCO2 and PI with mortality of patients admitted to the emergency department (ED). METHODS: Multicenter, prospective, cohort study of adult patients with acute disease who needed continuous monitoring in the ED. The study included two tertiary hospitals in Spain between October 2022 and June 2023. The primary outcome of the study was in-hospital mortality (all-cause). Demographics, vital signs, ETCO2 and PI were collected. RESULTS: A total of 687 patients were included in the study. The in-hospital mortality rate was 6.8%. The median age was 79 years (IQR: 69-86), and 63.3% were males. The median ETCO2 value was 30 mmHg (26-35) in survivors and 23 mmHg (16-30) in nonsurvivors (p = 0.001). For the PI, the medians were 4.7% (2.8-8.1) for survivors and 2.5% (0.98-4-4) for nonsurvivors (p < 0.001). The model that presented the best AUC was age (odds ratio (OR): 1.02 (1.00-1.05)), the respiratory rate (OR: 1.06 (1.02-1.11)), and the PI (OR: 0.83 (0.75-0.91)), with a result of 0.840 (95% CI: 0.795-0.886); the model with the respiratory rate (OR: 1.05 (1.01-1.10)), the PI (OR: 0.84 (0.76-0.93)), and the ETCO2 (no statistically significant OR), with an AUC of 0.838 (95% CI: 0.787-0.889). CONCLUSIONS: The present study showed that the PI and respiratory rate are independently associated with in-hospital mortality. Both the PI and ETCO2 are predictive parameters with improved prognostic performance compared with that of standard vital signs.

Comparison of eight prehospital early warning scores in life-threatening acute respiratory distress: a prospective, observational, multicentre, ambulance-based, external validation study.

BACKGROUND: A myriad of early warning scores (EWSs) exist, yet there is a need to identify the most clinically valid score to be used in prehospital respiratory assessments to estimate short-term and midterm mortality, intensive-care unit admission, and airway management in life-threatening acute respiratory distress. METHODS: This is a prospective, observational, multicentre, ambulance-based, external validation study performed in 44 ambulance services and four hospitals across three Spanish provinces (ie, Salamanca, Segovia, and Valladolid). We identified adults (ie, those aged 18 years and older) discharged to the emergency department with suspected acute respiratory distress. The primary outcome was 2-day all-cause in-hospital mortality, for all the patients or according to prehospital respiratory conditions, including dyspnoea, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), COVID-19, other infections, and other conditions (asthma exacerbation, haemoptysis, and bronchoaspirations). 30-day mortality, intensive-care unit admission, and invasive and non-invasive mechanical ventilation were secondary outcomes. Eight EWSs, namely, the National Early Warning Score 2, the Modified Rapid Emergency Medicine Score, the Rapid Acute Physiology Score, the Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score, the CURB-65 Severity Score for Community-Acquired Pneumonia, the BAP-65 Score for Acute Exacerbation of COPD, the Quick COVID-19 Severity Index, and the Modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (mSOFA), were explored to determine their predictive validity through calibration, clinical net benefit as determined through decision curve analysis, and discrimination analysis (area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic [AUROC], compared with Delong's test). FINDINGS: Between Jan 1, 2020, and Nov 31, 2022, 902 patients were enrolled. The global 2-day mortality rate was 87 (10%); in proportion to various respiratory conditions, the rates were 35 (40%) for dyspnoea, nine (10%) for COPD, 13 (15%) for COVID-19, 28 (32%) for other infections, and two (2%) for others conditions. mSOFA showed the best calibration, a higher net benefit, and the best discrimination (AUROC 0·911, 95% CI 0·86-0·95) for predicting 2-day mortality, and its discrimination was statistically significantly more accurate (p<0·0001) compared with the other scores. The performance of mSOFA for predicting 2-day mortality was higher than the other scores when considering the prehospital respiratory conditions, and was also higher for the secondary outcomes, except for non-invasive mechanical ventilation. INTERPRETATION: Our results showed that mSOFA outperformed other EWSs. The inclusion of mSOFA in prehospital decision making will entail a quick identification of patients in acute respiratory distress at high risk of deterioration, allowing prioritisation of resources and patient care. FUNDING: Gerencia Regional de Salud, Public Health System of Castilla y León (GRS Spain). TRANSLATION: For the Spanish translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Synergistic impact of N-antigenemia profiled by a rapid antigen test and low anti-S1 antibodies on the risk of hospitalization in COVID-19.

OBJECTIVES: Identifying patients with COVID-19 who are at risk of poor evolution is key to early decide on their hospitalization. We evaluated the combined impact of nucleocapsid (N)-antigenemia profiled by a rapid test and antibodies against the S1 subunit of the SARS-CoV S protein (S1) on the hospitalization risk of patients with COVID-19. METHODS: N-antigenemia and anti-S1 antibodies were profiled at admission to the emergency department in 146 patients with COVID-19 using the Panbio® antigen Rapid Test and the SARS-CoV-2 immunoglobulin G II Quant/SARS-CoV-2 immunoglobulin G assay from Abbott. A multivariable analysis was used to evaluate the impact of these factors on hospitalization. RESULTS: Patients with a positive N-antigen test in plasma and anti-S1 levels <2821 arbitrary units/mL needed hospitalization more frequently (20 of 23, 87%). A total of 20 of 71 (28.2%) of those showing a negative N-antigen test and anti-S1 ≥2821 arbitrary units/mL were hospitalized for 18 of 52 (34.6%) of the patients with only one of these conditions. Patients with a positive N-antigen test and low antibody levels showed an odds ratio, 95% confidence interval, and P-value for hospitalization of 18.21, 2.74-121.18, and 0.003, respectively, and exhibited the highest mortality (30.4%). CONCLUSIONS: Simultaneous profiling of a rapid N-antigen test in plasma and anti-S1 levels could help to early identify patients with COVID-19 needing hospitalization.

Analysis of Predictive Factors for the Poor Prognosis of Peripheral Facial Paralysis.

PURPOSE: The aim of the study is to evaluate the predictive factors for a poor prognosis in patients with facial paralysis evaluated in the rehabilitation department of a tertiary hospital. METHODS: We have conducted a prospective cohort study. Patients who required elective botulinum toxin infiltration, surgical treatment, or follow-up appointments longer than 6 months due to incomplete recovery were considered to have a poor prognosis. Descriptive and analytical analyses of clinical and epidemiological variables were performed. The follow-up period was 6 mos. RESULTS: A total of 47 adult patients were analyzed, 54.2% of whom were women. The mean age was 53.2 yrs (SD, 15.5 yrs). Twenty-five percent had an unfavorable prognosis. A statistically significant association with prognosis was observed for neurophysiological results and the scores of the House-Brackmann scale and the Sunnybrook Facial Grading System. CONCLUSIONS: Neurophysiological tests are especially useful when evaluating prognosis. Likewise, Sunnybrook Facial Grading System is a useful and accessible tool with prognostic value, especially within a month of initial diagnosis, when a score lower than 65 indicates a poor prognosis with high sensitivity and specificity. These tools can be especially useful to reduce the clinical and psychological impact and to provide patients with early therapeutic management.

Prehospital Targeting of 1-Year Mortality in Acute Chest Pain by Cardiac Biomarkers.

The identification and appropriate management of patients at risk of suffering from acute chest pain (ACP) in prehospital care are not straightforward. This task could benefit, as occurs in emergency departments (EDs), from cardiac enzyme assessment. The aim of the present work was to derive and validate a scoring system based on troponin T (cTnT), N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and D-dimer to predict 1-year mortality in patients with ACP. This was a prospective, multicenter, ambulance-based cohort study of adult patients with a prehospital ACP diagnosis who were evacuated by ambulance to the ED between October 2019 and July 2021. The primary outcome was 365-day cumulative mortality. A total of 496 patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria. The mortality rate was 12.1% (60 patients). The scores derived from cTnT, NT-proBNP, and D-dimer presented an AUC of 0.802 (95% CI: 0718-0.886) for 365-day mortality. This AUC was superior to that of each individual cardiac enzyme. Our study provides promising evidence for the predictive value of a risk score based on cTnT, NT-proBNP, and D-dimer for the prediction of 1-year mortality in patients with ACP. The implementation of this score has the potential to benefit emergency medical service care and facilitate the on-scene decision-making process.

Prehospital lactate-glucose interaction in acute life-threatening illnesses: metabolic response and short-term mortality.

BACKGROUND AND IMPORTANCE: Lactate is an already recognized biomarker for short-term mortality. However, how glycemia and diabetes affect the predictive ability of lactate needs to be revealed. OBJECTIVE: To determine how hypoglycemia, normoglycemia, and hyperglycemia modify the predictive ability of lactate for short-term mortality (3 days). The secondary objective was to evaluate the predictive ability of lactate in diabetic patients. DESIGN, SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective, observational study performed between 26 October 2018 and 31 December 2022. Multicenter, EMS-delivery, ambulance-based study, considering 38 basic life support units and 5 advanced life support units referring to four tertiary care hospitals (Spain). Eligible patients were adults recruited from among all phone requests for emergency assistance who were later evacuated to emergency departments. OUTCOMES MEASURE AND ANALYSIS: The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality from any cause within the third day following EMS attendance. The main predictors considered were lactate, blood glucose levels and previous diabetes. MAIN RESULTS: A total of 6341 participants fulfilled the inclusion criteria. 68 years (IQR: 51-80); 41.4% were female. The 3-day in-hospital mortality rate was 3.5%. The predictive capacity of lactate for 3-day mortality was only significantly different between normo-glycemia and hyperglycemia. The best predictive result was for normo-glycemia - AUC = 0.897 (95% CI: 0.881-0.913) - then hyperglycemia - AUC = 0.819 (95% CI: 0.770-0.868) and finally, hypoglycemia - AUC = 0.703 (95% CI: 0.422-0.983). The stratification according to diabetes presented no statistically significant difference, and the predictive results were AUC = 0.924 (95% CI: 0.892-0.956), AUC = 0.906 (95% CI: 0.884-0.928), and AUC = 0.872 (95% CI: 0.817-0.927) for nondiabetes, uncomplicated cases, and end-organ damage diabetes, respectively. CONCLUSION: Our results demonstrated that glycemia, but not diabetes, alters the predictive ability of lactate. Therefore, hyperglycemia should be considered when interpreting lactate, since this could improve screening to detect cryptic shock conditions.

Prehospital acute life-threatening cardiovascular disease in elderly: an observational, prospective, multicentre, ambulance-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: The aim was to explore the association of demographic and prehospital parameters with short-term and long-term mortality in acute life-threatening cardiovascular disease by using a hazard model, focusing on elderly individuals, by comparing patients under 75 years versus patients over 75 years of age. DESIGN: Prospective, multicentre, observational study. SETTING: Emergency medical services (EMS) delivery study gathering data from two back-to-back studies between 1 October 2019 and 30 November 2021. Six advanced life support (ALS), 43 basic life support and five hospitals in Spain were considered. PARTICIPANTS: Adult patients suffering from acute life-threatening cardiovascular disease attended by the EMS. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality from any cause within the first to the 365 days following EMS attendance. The main measures included prehospital demographics, biochemical variables, prehospital ALS techniques used and syndromic suspected conditions. RESULTS: A total of 1744 patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria. The 365-day cumulative mortality in the elderly amounted to 26.1% (229 cases) versus 11.6% (11.6%) in patients under 75 years old. Elderly patients (≥75 years) presented a twofold risk of mortality compared with patients ≤74 years. Life-threatening interventions (mechanical ventilation, cardioversion and defibrillation) were also related to a twofold increased risk of mortality. Importantly, patients suffering from acute heart failure presented a more than twofold increased risk of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: This study revealed the prehospital variables associated with the long-term mortality of patients suffering from acute cardiovascular disease. Our results provide important insights for the development of specific codes or scores for cardiovascular diseases to facilitate the risk of mortality characterisation.

Prehospital mSOFA Score for Quick Prediction of Life-Saving Interventions and Mortality in Trauma Patients: A Prospective, Multicenter, Ambulance-based, Cohort Study.

Background: Prehospital emergency medical services (EMS) are the main gateway for trauma patients. Recent advances in point-of-care testing and the development of early warning scores have allowed EMS to improve patient classification. We aimed to identify patients presenting with major trauma involving life-saving interventions (LSI) using the modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (mSOFA) score in the prehospital scenario, and to compare these results with those of other trauma scores. Methods: This was a prospective, ambulance-based, multicenter, training-validation study in trauma patients who were treated in a prehospital setting and subsequently transported to a hospital. The study involved six Advanced Life Support units, 38 Basic Life Support units, and four hospitals. The primary outcome was LSI performed at the scene or en route and intensive care unit (ICU) admission and all-cause two-day in-hospital mortality. We collected epidemiological variables, creatinine, lactate, base excess, international normalized ratio, and vital signs. Discriminative power (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]), calibration (observed vs predicted outcome agreement), and decision-curve analysis (DCA, clinical utility) were used to assess the reliability of the mSOFA in comparison to other scores. Results: Between January 1, 2020-April 30, 2022, a total of 763 patients were selected. The mSOFA score's AUC was 0.927 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.898-0.957) for LSI, 0.845 (95% CI 0.808-0.882) for ICU admission, and 0.979 (95% CI 0.966-0.991) for two-day mortality. Conclusion: The mSOFA score outperformed the other scores, allowing a quick identification of high-risk patients. The routine implementation in EMS of mSOFA could provide critical support in the decision-making process in time-dependent trauma injuries.

Long-Term Mortality in Patients Transferred by Emergency Medical Services: Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the long-term mortality (one-year follow-up) associated with patients transferred by Emergency Medical Services (EMS), and to reveal the determinants (causes and risk factors). METHODS: This was a multicenter, prospective, observational, controlled, ambulance-based study of adult patients transferred by ambulance to emergency departments (EDs) from October 2019 through July 2021 for any cause. A total of six Advanced Life Support (ALS) units, 38 Basic Life Support (BLS) units, and five hospitals from Spain were included. Physiological, biochemical, demographic, and reasons for transfer variables were collected. A longitudinal analysis was performed to determine the factors associated to long-term mortality (any cause). RESULTS: The final cohort included 1,406 patients. The one-year mortality rate was 21.6% (n = 304). Mortality over the first two days reached 5.2% of all the patients; between Day 2 and Day 30, reached 5.3%; and between Day 31 and Day 365, reached 11.1%. Low Glasgow values, elevated lactate levels, elevated blood urea nitrogen (BUN) levels, low oxygen saturation, high respiratory rate, as well as being old and suffering from circulatory diseases and neurological diseases were risk factors for long-term mortality. CONCLUSION: The quick identification of patients at risk of long-term worsening could provide an opportunity to customize care through specific follow-up.

Prehospital seizures: Short-term outcomes and risk stratification based in point-of-care testing.

BACKGROUND: Information for treatment or hospital derivation of prehospital seizures is limited, impairing patient condition and hindering patients risk assessment by the emergency medical services (EMS). This study aimed to determine the associated factors to clinical impairment, and secondarily, to determine risk factors associated to cumulative in-hospital mortality at 2, 7 and 30 days, in patients presenting prehospital seizures. METHODS: Prospective, multicentre, EMS-delivery study involving adult subjects with prehospital seizures, including five advanced life support units, 27 basic life support units and four emergency departments in Spain. All bedside variables: including demographic, standard vital signs, prehospital laboratory tests and presence of intoxication or traumatic brain injury (TBI), were analysed to construct a risk model using binary logistic regression and internal validation methods. RESULTS: A total of 517 patients were considered. Clinical impairment was present in 14.9%, and cumulative in-hospital mortality at 2, 7 and 30-days was 3.4%, 4.6% and 7.7%, respectively. The model for the clinical impairment indicated that respiratory rate, partial pressure of carbon dioxide, blood urea nitrogen, associated TBI or stroke were risk factors; higher Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores mean a lower risk of impairment. Age, potassium, glucose, prehospital use of mechanical ventilation and concomitant stroke were risk factors associated to mortality; and oxygen saturation, a high score in GCS and haemoglobin were protective factors. CONCLUSION: Our study shows that prehospital variables could reflect the clinical impairment and mortality of patients suffering from seizures. The incorporation of such variables in the prehospital decision-making process could improve patient outcomes.

Prehospital qSOFA, mSOFA, and NEWS2 performance for sepsis prediction: A prospective, multi-center, cohort study.

Background: Nowadays, there is no gold standard score for prehospital sepsis and sepsis-related mortality identification. The aim of the present study was to analyze the performance of qSOFA, NEWS2 and mSOFA as sepsis predictors in patients with infection-suspected in prehospital care. The second objective is to study the predictive ability of the aforementioned scores in septic-shock and in-hospital mortality. Methods: Prospective, ambulance-based, and multicenter cohort study, developed by the emergency medical services, among patients (n = 535) with suspected infection transferred by ambulance with high-priority to the emergency department (ED). The study enrolled 40 ambulances and 4 ED in Spain between 1 January 2020, and 30 September 2021. All the variables used in the scores, in addition to socio-demographic data, standard vital signs, prehospital analytical parameters (glucose, lactate, and creatinine) were collected. For the evaluation of the scores, the discriminative power, calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used. Results: The mSOFA outperformed the other two scores for mortality, presenting the following AUCs: 0.877 (95%CI 0.841-0.913), 0.761 (95%CI 0.706-0.816), 0.731 (95%CI 0.674-0.788), for mSOFA, NEWS, and qSOFA, respectively. No differences were found for sepsis nor septic shock, but mSOFA's AUCs was higher than the one of the other two scores. The calibration curve and DCA presented similar results. Conclusion: The use of mSOFA could provide and extra insight regarding the short-term mortality and sepsis diagnostic, backing its recommendation in the prehospital scenario.

Comparison of seven prehospital early warning scores to predict long-term mortality: a prospective, multicenter, ambulance-based study.

METHODS: A prospective, multicenter, ambulance-based study of adult patients with an acute illness involving six advanced life support units and 38 basic life support units, referring to five emergency departments in Spain. RESULTS: The primary outcome was long-term mortality with a 1-year follow-up. The compared scores included: National Early Warning Score 2, VitalPAC early warning score, modified rapid emergency medicine score (MREMS), Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment, Cardiac Arrest Risk Triage Score, Rapid Acute Physiology Score, and Triage Early Warning Score. Discriminative power [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)] and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to compare the scores. Additionally, a Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier method were used. Between 8 October 2019, and 31 July 2021, a total of 2674 patients were selected. The MREMS presented the highest AUC of 0.77 (95% confidence interval, 0.75-0.79), significantly higher than those of the other EWS. It also exhibited the best performance in the DCA and the highest hazard ratio for 1-year mortality [3.56 (2.94-4.31) for MREMS between 9 and 18 points, and 11.71 (7.21-19.02) for MREMS > 18]. CONCLUSION: Among seven tested EWS, the use of the MREMS presented better characteristics to predict 1-year mortality; however, all these scores present moderate performances.

Derivation and validation of a blood biomarker score for 2-day mortality prediction from prehospital care: a multicenter, cohort, EMS-based study.

Identifying potentially life-threatening diseases is a key challenge for emergency medical services. This study aims at examining the role of different prehospital biomarkers from point-of-care testing to derive and validate a score to detect 2-day in-hospital mortality. We conducted a prospective, observational, prehospital, ongoing, and derivation-validation study in three Spanish provinces, in adults evacuated by ambulance and admitted to the emergency department. A total of 23 ambulance-based biomarkers were collected from each patient. A biomarker score based on logistic regression was fitted to predict 2-day mortality from an optimum subset of variables from prehospital blood analysis, obtained through an automated feature selection stage. 2806 cases were analyzed, with a median age of 68 (interquartile range 51-81), 42.3% of women, and a 2-day mortality rate of 5.5% (154 non-survivors). The blood biomarker score was constituted by the partial pressure of carbon dioxide, lactate, and creatinine. The score fitted with logistic regression using these biomarkers reached a high performance to predict 2-day mortality, with an AUC of 0.933 (95% CI 0.841-0.973). The following risk levels for 2-day mortality were identified from the score: low risk (score < 1), where only 8.2% of non-survivors were assigned to; medium risk (1 ≤ score < 4); and high risk (score ≥ 4), where the 2-day mortality rate was 57.6%. The novel blood biomarker score provides an excellent association with 2-day in-hospital mortality, as well as real-time feedback on the metabolic-respiratory patient status. Thus, this score can help in the decision-making process at critical moments in life-threatening situations.